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October 25, 2007

More Burma

Two pieces in the wake of the recent disturbances argue that the Junta needs to be part of any solution.

Nick Dunlop in Prospect recalls his visit earlier this year and the access he was given to the new capital Nay Pyi Daw. (Subscription needed)

And in the Chatham House magazine The World Today, Bertil Linter looks at what may happen when the general fall from power.

"The civilian opposition does not have adequate capacity to fill the power vacuum that the collapse of the present regime would produce and alone form a new government. ANy state failure in Burma would have regional repercussions as its neighbours would be affected by an even bigger flow of refugees, drugs and weapons than is the case today.

State failure could also encourage Burma's ethnic insurgents ...to go their own ways perhaps even declare independence. Thus a Yugoslavia style scenario is not unlikely but would also have disastrous consequences for the region."

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